Monitoring and Field Study Design for Purposes of Assessing Risks of ically Engineered Crops 转基因作物风险评估的监测和田间试验设计 Rick Hellmich and Jarrad Prasifka USDA–ARS, Corn Insects & Plant ics Research Unit 美国农业部-农业研究局,玉米昆虫和植物遗传研究所 Dept. Entomology, Iowa State University 昆虫系,依阿华州立大学 Agricultural Research Service Topics 主题 Challenges for field entomologists 田间昆虫学家的挑战 Development of guidelines for testing non-target effects in the field 制定检测非靶作用的指导规则 Plot size小区尺寸 Sampling 采样 taxa abundance, statistical power 种属多寡,统计方式 trap efficiency 截淤效率 timing 时机 Selecting taxa 选择种属 ecological functional groups 生态作用群 Hypothesis driven studies 推动研究的假设 Influences on Maize Agroecosystem 玉米农业生态系统的影响因素 Previous crop and farming practices 以前的作物和耕作方式 Farming disturbances 耕作干扰 Tillage 耕耘 fertilizer/herbicides 肥料/除草剂 planting 栽培 secondary tillage 二次耕作 harvesting 收割 Natural disturbances 自然干扰 local storm flooding 当地的洪水 temperature extremes 极端天气 plant diseases and pests 植物的病虫害 Before We Walk into Field Plot我们走进田间试验地前 How do disturbances of Bt protein in pare with other disturbances? 怎样比较作物的Bt蛋白干扰 与其它的干扰因素? What is the signal to noise ratio? 什么是信噪比? Undisturbed Pool 未受干扰的游泳池 GM Crop Signal? 转基因作物信号? Small disturbance 小干扰 Large disturbance 大干扰 Can this signal be detected? 这样的信号可以检测到吗? Background Noise?背景噪音? Children jumping 小孩跳水 Background Noise?背景噪音? Larger person jumping 大人跳水 Background Noise? 背景噪音? Near Chaos 附近混乱的杂音 Ecological Risk Assessment 生态风险评估 Tier 1 梯度 1 Simple, worst-case scenarios 简单的,最坏的情况 High estimated environmental concentration (EEC) 高估计环境浓度(EEC) Tier 2 梯度 2 Use plant material (1X EEC) 使用植物材料(1X EEC) Tier 3 梯度 3 Long-term laboratory, greenhouse or semi-field tests 长期实验室,温室或半田间试验 Tier 4 梯度 4 Field tests 田间试验 Field Monitoring 田间监测 LAB FIELD 试验 田间