Chapter 9 Measuring Investment Performance Contents Traditional Measures of Investment Worth (rule of thumb) Traditional Appraisal Methods Discounted Cash-flow Analysis Risk Analysis Case Study 、Traditional measures of investment worth 传统经验法 Typical operating statement Potential gross e less: allowance for vacancies and rent loss plus: Other e (parking) Effective gross e less: Operating operating e Net operating e less: Debt service Before Tax e less: e Tax liability After Tax e First year e tax operating e) 减:利息支出(interest) 减:折旧(depreciation) 应税收入(taxable e) 乘:所得税税率(tax rate) 缴纳的所得税(e tax) 房地产投资有利的一面:折旧 经验分析常用指标 比值分析 盈利分析 回收期 一、比值分析(Ratio Analysis) 1、收入乘数(e multipliers) (1)总收入乘数=总投资额/总收入 (2)净收入乘数=总投资额/净经营收入 (3)税前现金流量乘数=权益投资额/税前现金流量 (4)税后现金流量乘数=权益投资额/税后现流量 一、比值分析 2、财务比率 (1)经营成本率=经营成本/有效总收入 (2)盈亏平衡率=(经营成本+偿付贷款本息)/有效总收入 (3)债务偿付能力指数=净经营收入/偿付的贷款本息 Net operating e 净经营收入 16,266 Annual debt Service 每年还本付息额 12,512 Mortgage Loan amount 贷款额 125,120 Maximum Equity Investment 最大自有投资 31,283 Mortgage Constant 抵押贷款常数
(%, 28yr) Debt coverage Ratio 债务偿还能力 比率
Maximum offering price 最大提供投资额 156,403 Cash flow Before tax 税前现金流量 3,754 Desired ROE 预期值 12% Net operating e 净经营收入 16,266 Annual debt Service 每年还本付息额 12,512 ÷ ÷ ÷ - +