MODEL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS, DATA ASSESSMENT, CALIBRATION, AND UNCERTAINTY EVALUATION . Geological Survey National Training Center March 8-12, 2004 Instructors, all from . Geological Survey Mary C. Hill, Coordinator NRP, Boulder, CO ******@ Claire R. Tiedeman NRP, Menlo Park, CA ******@ Ned Banta Colorado District, Lakewood, CO ******@ Marshall t Oregon District, Portland, OR ******@ Howard Reeves Michigan District, Lansing. MI ******@ ***The exercise numbers differ frim those in Hill and Tiedeman (2007), but most of the exercises are the same. MONDAY 8:30 am I. Introduction (Mary Hill) Outline of course Fourteen guidelines for effective model calibration Four field investigations are discussed: 1. Deschutes basin, Oregon ground-water model calibration – Tuesday 2. Albuquerque basin ground-water model calibration – Thursday 3. Planning plume remediation in southwest Michigan -- Thursday 4. Death Valley regional ground-water flow system ground-water model calibration with optimal parameter estimation and three-dimensional GIS, and analysis of parameter observation location importance in the context of predictions – Friday Some basics Model calibration using trial and error only and with nonlinear regression Definition of parameters and observations Objective function and some example objective function surf
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