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Chapter6
1、
miscalibration : is the tendency for people to overestimate the precision of their knowledge. 标准
误差是人们高估自己知识精确度的一种趋势。
excessiveoptimism : people ’ s predictions about the future are unrealistically optimistic .过度乐
观:人们对于将来的预测是不切实际的乐观。
better-than average effect : Better-than-average effect says that many of us feel we are smarter
or more skilled than average. 好过平均水平效应:我们大多数人都认为自己的智慧或技能比
平均水平要好。
Illusion of control : people think that they have more control over events than objectively can be
:人们认为他们有比实际更大的支配事物的能力。
self-attribution bias : the tendency for people to attribute esses or good es to their own
abilities , while blaming failures on circumstances beyond their control , can lead to an increase in
overconfidence . 自我归因偏见:人们通常把成功或好的结果归功于自己的能力,而把失败归
咎于自己控制之外的环境。
s
Confirmation bias : the tendency to search out evidence consistence with one ’prior beliefs and
to ignore conflicting data. 证实偏差: 是指当人们确立了某一个信念或观点时, 在收集信息和
分析信息的过程中, 他们有一种寻找支持这个信念的证据的倾向, 也就是说他们会很容易接
受支持这个信念的信息, 而忽略否定这个信念的信息。 甚至还会花费更多的时间和认知资源
贬低与他们的看法相左的观点。
:
pros of overconfidence 过度自信的优点:当目标确定, 行动确定的时候,过度自信可能促进
我们的效应。
:
cons of overconfidence 过度自信的缺点:过度自信会导致过度交易,从而影响金融市场。
2、 miscalibration is greater for hard questions , it is greater when we look at 50% confidence
ranges.
3、 suppose you are about to bowl with your friends. In standard 10-pin bowling,300 is the
ma
1、
miscalibration : is the tendency for people to overestimate the precision of their knowledge. 标准
误差是人们高估自己知识精确度的一种趋势。
excessiveoptimism : people ’ s predictions about the future are unrealistically optimistic .过度乐
观:人们对于将来的预测是不切实际的乐观。
better-than average effect : Better-than-average effect says that many of us feel we are smarter
or more skilled than average. 好过平均水平效应:我们大多数人都认为自己的智慧或技能比
平均水平要好。
Illusion of control : people think that they have more control over events than objectively can be
:人们认为他们有比实际更大的支配事物的能力。
self-attribution bias : the tendency for people to attribute esses or good es to their own
abilities , while blaming failures on circumstances beyond their control , can lead to an increase in
overconfidence . 自我归因偏见:人们通常把成功或好的结果归功于自己的能力,而把失败归
咎于自己控制之外的环境。
s
Confirmation bias : the tendency to search out evidence consistence with one ’prior beliefs and
to ignore conflicting data. 证实偏差: 是指当人们确立了某一个信念或观点时, 在收集信息和
分析信息的过程中, 他们有一种寻找支持这个信念的证据的倾向, 也就是说他们会很容易接
受支持这个信念的信息, 而忽略否定这个信念的信息。 甚至还会花费更多的时间和认知资源
贬低与他们的看法相左的观点。
:
pros of overconfidence 过度自信的优点:当目标确定, 行动确定的时候,过度自信可能促进
我们的效应。
:
cons of overconfidence 过度自信的缺点:过度自信会导致过度交易,从而影响金融市场。
2、 miscalibration is greater for hard questions , it is greater when we look at 50% confidence
ranges.
3、 suppose you are about to bowl with your friends. In standard 10-pin bowling,300 is the
ma
北师大珠海分校金融学专业课程英文版教材行为金融学6至10章课后答案 来自淘豆网www.taodocs.com转载请标明出处.