中国面临的机遇和挑战.ppt

putingOpportunities & Challenges for China
Kai-Fu Lee
Corporate Vice President
Microsoft Corporation
Talk Outline
IT & Growth
puting
Opportunities for China
Software : Engine of growth
Power of software today:
US$200 Billion industry
10 million well-paid professionals
Increased efficiency everywhere
5 times faster growth than GDP
Will the growth continue?
Microsoft: YES!
Microsoft R&D:
1998 : $3 billion
2004 : $ billion
What fuels this growth?
Moore’s law
Waves of innovation.
PC Architecture
Operating Systems
Spreadsheets
Word Processors
PC
1980
1995
Applications
1990
puting
2005
Speech/Writing
XML/SOAP
HTTP/HTML
SMTP
Web Browser
Email Clients
Wi-Fi/Broadband
Devices everywhere
Web Services
Rights Management
puting Hardware
Mouse
GUI
LANs
Desktop publishing
Enterprise applications
Waves of Innovation
Research & Development
Engineering  Intellectual Property
Market Adoption
Intellectual Property  Economic Value
Information Driven
Experiences
Connected
anization
Replication
Speech & Intelligent UI
ContentAddressability
Amazing visualization
Machine-to-Machine Interaction
Person-to-PersonInteraction
Person-to-MachineInteraction
Ink &
Handwriting
puting: The Next Wave
GraphicalUser Interface
Natural User Interface
User Interface Evolution
Command line
1985
PC
1990
GUI
Multiple Windows
Menus
1995
Hyperlinks
Search Engines
Digital Decade
XML
Web Services
Smart devices
Natural Language
Multimodal (speech, ink…)
Personal Assistant
Natural User InterfaceDo what I mean
NUI Interaction
Natural & task-based
Expressive & efficient
Scalable & adaptive
“To me, speech recognition will be a transforming capability … when you can speak to puter and it will understand what you're saying in context.”
– Gordon Moore
“Speech and natural language understanding are the key technologies that will have the most impact in the next 15 years.”– Bill Gates
A Roadmap Towards NUI Vision
TTS SR Dialog
Speech
Search Help