合肥市土地政策对房地产市场调控的有效性分析(硕士论文).pdf

摘要
摘要
随着我国 1998 年的实物福利分房的终结,住房市场化和的不
断提升,房地产已成为我国的国民经济发展的重要支柱。房地产业的健康、稳定、
有序的发展不仅关系到国民经济的全局,也关系到人民的安居乐业和社会的稳
定。
土地作为房地产的重要组成部分,在调控房地产市场中,有及其重要的作用。
在 2003 年,国务院首次将土地政策纳入宏观调控的手段,成为货币政策和财政
政策后的第三个宏观调控的手段。针对我国房地产行业表现出的投资过快、过热,
房价上涨过快,空置率上升,房地产供应结构不合理等现象,政府加大了调控的
力度。本文以土地政策对房地产市场的调控为研究对象,比较系统的进行了定性
分析和详实的实证研究及定量分析,试图为房地产市场的宏观调控提供分析方法
和工具。
本文在土地政策调控房地产市场的传导机制的基础上,通过理论分析和实证
研究,建立了房地产的四象限模型,定性分析了土地市场和房地产市场的相互作
用模型、房地产需求对房地产市场和土地市场的影响、土地供给对房地产的影响
以及土地出让方式对房地产的影响;通过实证的研究,回顾了合肥市 2004 年
-2010 年土地市场和房地产市场的发展,并通过皮尔森相关分析和时差相关分析
定量的研究了经营性土地供应、房地产投资、经营性土地交易价格、新开工面积
及竣工面积与房地产市场的销售面积和销售均价的关系。最后在研究中国香港、
日本、韩国等国家土地政策参与房地产调控的国际经验后,讨论了土地政策参与
房地产市场调控有效性的措施和手段。

关键词:土地政策房地产调控房地产价格时效性分析









I
ABSTRACT
ABSTRACT
As the government oriented distribution of public housing policy ended in 1998,
the market construction for housing was enhanced, and the development of the
process is fast. As all know, the growth of economy of China is at a high level for last
thirty years and the trend is good, and the urbanization proceeds quickly. For the large
strength of real estate industry relating to the national economy, the real estate
industry plays a very important role in the economy of China. So whether the
development of real estate industry in a healthy, stable, orderly way is not only related
to the global economy development of China, but also influences the people’s living
situations and society stableness.
Land has important roles in regulation of the real estate market, for land is a
ponent of real estate price. In 2003, the land policy became the third
method to regulate macroscopically, besides the ary policy and fiscal policy.
Recently, on account of precipitous rise of housing prices,rise of vacancy rates ,
irrationality of the housing structure in real estate market, the government adjusted to
control macroeconomic regulation through land supply policies .This dissertation
researched on the effe