国际碳排放市场机制下我国海运业低碳发展的系统动力学模型.docx

国际碳排放市场机制下我国海运业低碳发展的系统动力学模型.docx国际碳排放市场机制下我国海运业低碳发展的系统动力学模型摘要:针对国际上以市场机制控制航运业碳排放的趋势,根据系统动力学原理和方法,分析我国航运业低碳发展系统的边界、特征和要素之间因果关系,建立系统动力学模型,(技术措施、营运措施和基于市场的措施):适当降低航行速度,改善能源消费结构,合理确定碳税税率并辅之以低碳补贴,:海运业;低碳;碳税;系统动力学中图分类号:F552;X324文献标志码:ASystemdynamicsmodeloflowcarbondevelopmentofChineseshippingindustryunderinternationalcarbonemissionmarketmechanismTANGLimin1,CHENYing1,LIUShaohui1,CAIZhaokun2(,DalianMaritimeUniv.,Dalian116026,Liaoning,China;,UniversityofScienceandTechnologyofChina,Hefei230026,China)Abstract:Inviewofthetrendofusingmarketmechanismtocontrolcarbonemissionininternationalshippingindustry,theboundary,featuresandcauseandeffectrelationshipsbetweentheelementsofChineseshippingindustrylowcarbondevelopmentsystemareanalyzed,(technical,operationalandmarketbasedmeasures),improvingenergyconsumptionstructureandreasonablydeterminingcarbontaxwithlowcarbonsubsidycouldleadtogoodemissionreductioneffectwhileensuringeconomy’:shippingindustry;lowcarbon;carbontax;systemdynamics收稿日期:20140809修回日期:20141223基金项目:辽宁省经济与社会发展研究基金(2014slktzig