the role of age-mixing patterns in hiv transmission dynamics novel hypotheses from a field study in cape town, south africa论文.pdf

Epidemics 25 (2018) 61–71
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Epidemics
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The role of age-mixing patterns in HIV transmission dynamics: Novel
hypotheses from a field study in Cape Town, South Africa T
⁎
Roxanne Beauclaira,b, , Niel Hensc,d, Wim Delvaa,b,c,e,f
a International Centre for Reproductive Health, Ghent University, Gent, Belgium
b The South African Department of Science and Technology-National Research Foundation (DST-NRF) Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis
(SACEMA), Stellen*** University, Stellen***, South Africa
c Center for Statistics, I-BioStat, Hasselt University, Martelarenlaan 42, BE3500 Hasselt, Belgium
d Centre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases and Centre for the Evaluation of Vaccination, Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of
Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
e Rega Institute for Medical Research, KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
f Department of Global Health Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellen*** University, Stellen***, South Africa
ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT
Keywords: Background: Age-disparate relationships are thought to put young women at increased risk of HIV, though
Age-disparate relationships current evidence is inconclusive. Studying population-level age-mixing patterns as well as individual-level
Age-mixing measures of age difference variation may provide insight into the persistence and magnitude of the epidemic in
HIV infection South Afr