德国外交关系理事会-数字技术环境和欧洲的行动能力（英）-2021.11-28正式版.pdf

German Council on Foreign Relations
No. 27
November 2021
REPORT
THIS VOLUME IS THE THIRD OF FOUR MONITORING STUDIES
The Digital Technology
Environment and
Europe’s Capacity to Act
Tyson Barker
Head of the Technology &
Global Affairs Program
2 No. 27 | November 2021
The Digital Technology Environment and Europe’s Capacity to Act REPORT
IDEENWERKSTATT DEUTSCHE the different stages of the policy cycle: (1) problem definition,
AUSSENPOLITIK (2) agenda-setting, (3) policy formulation, (4) implementa-
tion, and (5) impact assessment. In gauging Europe’s capacity
This monitoring study was written within the framework of to act, the studies refer to a series of scenario workshops on
the project “Ideenwerkstatt Deutsche Außenpolitik,” a pro- the four thematic areas, held in late 2020, in which DGAP and
cess of reflection on the capacity to act in German and Eu- external experts created status-quo, best-case, and worst-
ropean foreign policy, the underlying conditions for which case scenarios for how the future might look in 2030. Tak-
are undergoing a fundamental transformation. In addition ing these respective scenarios into account, the monitoring
to the much-discussed changes to the international system studies analyze to what extent the EU and Germany are pre-
and increasing great-power competition between the United pared for the worst case, are aware of the implications of the
States and China, technological developments, new securi- status quo, and are moving toward achieving the best case.
ty threats, the consequence