国内生产总值对第三产业影响论文.doc

统计学《课程设计》论文
国内生产总值对第三产业影响
Gross domestic product to the third industry influence
学院:理学院
专业:统计学
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学号:

论文提交日期:二Ο一二年十一月
摘要
第三产业作为我国国民经济发展的重要组成部分,具有其特殊的地位和作用。改革开放以来,国民经济的持续发展,综合国力的不断增强,第三产业也随之健康发展。本文浅谈第三产业的发展概况,通过国内生产总值与第三产业回归分析,充分表明第三产业对我国国民经济的重大影响并呈现出其独特的特点,但同时我国国民经济也面临着挑战,只要坚持可持续发展和把握好第三产业的发展速度,我国的国民经济将一直稳步发展。
关键词:经济;第三产业;回归分析;影响
Gross domestic product to the third industry influence
Abstract
Abstract: The third of China's national economic development industry as an important part, with its special status and role. The level of development is a measure of the level of development of a country or region an important symbol in promoting the optimization and upgrading the economic structure, increasing employment and improving people's quality of life plays an important role. Since reform and opening, sustained development, comprehensive national strength has been strengthening the healthy development of the tertiary industry also will be. This overview of the development of tertiary industry, through the gross domestic product and regression analysis, fully demonstrates that the tertiary industry's significant impact on China's national economy and has shown its unique characteristics, but at the same time our national economy also faces challenges, as long as the adhere to sustainable development and a good grasp of the tertiary industry growth rate, China's economy will have been developing steadily.
Key words: economic ;Tertiary;regression;impaction

目录
摘要 2
Abstract 3
第一章 引言 5
第二章数据说明 6
第三章国内生产总值与第三产业的关系分析 6
变量的正态性检验 6
Y和X的正态性检验: 6
V和M的正态性检验: 7
对数据作散点图进行分析 7
变量的相关性检验 8
建立一元回归模型 9
模型的检验 9
回归方程线性关系检验(F检验) 9
参数的显著性检验(T检验) 9
参差的正态性检验 10
利用回归方程进行预测 11
第四章对第三产业发展的建议 11
途径1:要采取分类指导和突出重点的原则。 11
途径2:应坚持产业转换序列的多元化模式。 11
途径3:要重视国际服务贸易问题。 11
结论: 12
参考文献 13
附录 13
: 13
表7 13
引言
第三产业,又称第三产业。伴随着国民经济的不断发展,第三产业也开始蓬勃发展起来,我们为您知道,第三产业主要集中到服务行业。它可以推动国内生产总值的发展,可以扩大内需,加快经济发展速度,可以扩大就