the - montana state university-蒙大拿州立大学.pdf

KEYWORDS:Avalancheforecasting,high-resolutionnumericalweatherprediction,weatherforecastverificationVERIFICATIONOFHIGH-RESOLUTIONNUMERICALWEATHERMODELSWITHREGARDTOAVALANCHEFORECASTINGClaudiaRoeger*,lung,RolandStull,JoshHacker,HenrykModzelewskiUniversityofBritishColumbia,Vancouver,BC,!bintheCoastMountainsinBritishColumbiarepresentsamaritimemountaineliObservationdatawerefromautomaticweathstations(hourlyorevery15minutes)(twicedaily)-,itmightbepossibletopredictavalanchesoutto24-,,twonumericalweatherpredictionmodelsarerunrtime,makingdailyforecastsonmultiplegrids0to48hours.-munitymodel(MC2),refinbyRechercheenPrevisionNumerique(RPN)illCanada,andtheUniversityofWisconsinNonhydrostaticModelingSystem(UW-NMS).InCanada,onenumerical lungandTweedy(1994).Itisusedoperationallyat*Correspondingauthoraddress:ClaudiaRoeger,DepartmentofEarth&OceanSciences,,6339StoresRd,Vancouver,BC,V6T1Z4,Canada;******@ isameasureofthequalityo