我国西部地区公共支出对经济增长影响的实证的分析研究.pdf

An Empirical Study of the Effect of Public Spending on Economic Growth about the Western of China A Thesis Submitted to Chongqing University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement for the Master’s Degree of Economics By Luo Peng Supervised byProf. Pu Yan-ping Specialty: Industry Economics College of Public Affairs of Chongqing University, Chongqing, China April, 2014 重庆大学硕士学位论文中文摘要 I 摘要政府公共支出是政府进行宏观经济调控的重要工具。我国市场经济体制尚不完善,相关制度尚不成熟,市场失灵和市场信息不对称等市场缺陷客观存在,仅依靠市场调节还不能实现资源优化配置。政府作为公共部门,通过其财政手段对市场经济进行宏观调控,能有效解决市场失灵,促进国民经济持续健康发展。本文在对政府支出与经济增长相关文献与理论进行梳理的基础上,首先从总量和结构双重视角就我国西部地区政府支出的现状进行统计性描述分析;其次, 构建省际面板数据模型,就公共支出总量和结构对经济增长的影响进行实证分析与检验;最后对政府公共支出促进经济增长的对策进行了探讨。本文得出如下基本结论: 第一,西部地区公共支出总量与经济增长存在长期协整关系,即公共支出总量对经济增长存在长期影响。贵州、陕西、青海、宁夏的公共支出与经济增长的关系不显著,西部其余地区公共支出对经济增长均存在显著正向影响,但各省公共支出的经济增长效应存在明显差异。第二,西部地区经济建设支出和社会文教支出与经济增长之间存在长期协整关系。长期内,经济建设支出与社会文教支出对经济增长均具有一定促进作用, 且两者的促进作用较强。第三,行政管理支出与经济增长之间的长期协整关系不明显,但存在短期影响。西部大多数省份行政管理支出对经济增长存在负影响,行政管理支出对经济增长具有阻碍作用。第四,国防支出和其他支出对经济增长的影响存在长期均衡性。因为国防支出和其他支出与经济增长关系显著的省份数量少于经济建设支出和社会文教支出,所以国防支出和其他支出对经济增长的促进作用较弱。关键词:西部地区,公共支出,经济增长,面板数据重庆大学硕士学位论文英文摘要 II ABSTRACT The public expenditure is an important instrument for the Government to regulate the macro-economy. As our economic system is not perfect and the relevant system is not yet mature, the problems such as market failures and information asymmetry exist objectively. So relying solely on the market is not able to achieve optimal allocation of resources. Government, as the public sector, can effectively address market failures as well as promote national economy developed sustained and healthy through its financial means to regulate the macro-economy. This paper bases on the literature and theory about government spending and economic growth. First, we analyze the total amount and structure of local government expenditures in Western region. Then, we build an inter-provincial panel data model to test the impact of the total amount and structure of public