Modeling and Simulating Software Projects - Troy Magennis.pdf

Forecasting and
Simulating Software
Development Projects

Effective Modeling of Kanban & Scrum
Projects using Monte-carlo Simulation

Troy Magennis
Copyright © 2011 Troy Magennis
All rights reserved.

ISBN: 1466454830
ISBN-13: 978-1466454835
DEDICATION


To Aiden and – Two reasons my life is wonderful.
CONTENTS

Acknowledgements.............................................................................................................. i
Preface .............................................................................................................................. iii
Why This Book Was Written .......................................................................................... iii
Who Should Read This Book ......................................................................................... iii
Chapter Outlines ............................................................................................................ iv
Simulation and Forecasting Software used in this Book .................................................. vii
Download the Simulation Software and Example Files ................................................ vii
Chapter 1 ................................................................................................................................ 1
Modeling – Estimation, Forecasting and Risk Management .............................................. 1
What is (numerical) modeling? ....................................................................................... 1
Just Enough Estimation .................................................................................................. 2
Choosing the right portfolio of projects ........................................................................ 3
Planning, hiring and training staff for the future .......................................................... 4
Forecasting – Staff, dates, revenue