PAC-Bayesian Pattern Classification with Kernels - Theory, Algorithms, and an Application to the Game of Go (dissetation 2002 239s)_Thore Graepel.pdf
PAC-Bavesian Pattern Classification with Kernels Theory, Algorithms, and an Application to the Game of Go vorgelegt von Diplom-Physiker (Dip1.-Phys.) Thore Graepel Fakultat IV - Elektrotechnik und Informatik der Technischen Universitat Berlin zur Erlangung des akademischen Grades Doktor der Naturwissenschaften - Dr. rer. nat. - genehmigte Dissertation Promotionsausschuss: Vorsitzender: Prof. Dr. Heinrich Klar Berichter: Prof. Dr. Ulrich Kockelkorn Berichter: Prof. Dr. Fritz Wysotzki Tag der wissenschaftlichen Aussprache: 12. Juli 2002 Berlin 2002 D 83 Fiir rneine Eltern Abstract The thesis deals with problems of pattern classification in the framework of machine learning. The focus of the work is on kernel methods for the supervised classification of objects. The thesis gives a detailed introduction into the field of kernel algorithms and learning theory. New contributions include learning theoretical results in the PAC- Bayesian framework, efficient sampling algorithms for Bayesian classification in kernel space, and an application of kernel methods to pattern analysis in the game of Go. Learning Theory In the PAC-Bayesian framework we derive new bounds on the predic- tion error of linear classifiers (in kernel space) in terms of the normalised margin achieved on the training sample, taking into account both the concentration of the training data and the margin distribution. Assuming sparseness of the dual variables we extend the PAC-Bayesian framework to data-dependent hypotheses. Finally, we prove "egalitarian" bounds on the probability of finding classifiers with high prediction error in subsets of hy- pothesis space with low empirical risk-results that emphasise the importance of model selection. Learning Algorithms We discuss Bayesian classification in kernel space and identify Bayesian transduction and the Bayes point machine as optimal procedures for classifica- tion in a Ba
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